Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.142391 0.152038 0.162086 0.173349 0.185643 0.198677 0.213569
2025-12-21 0.123654 0.137527 0.152761 0.170806 0.191699 0.215249 0.243969
2025-12-28 0.112858 0.128893 0.147121 0.169529 0.196542 0.228325 0.268945
2026-01-04 0.106743 0.124576 0.145434 0.171880 0.204874 0.245156 0.298809
2026-01-11 0.100235 0.119049 0.141573 0.170871 0.208485 0.255876 0.321286
2026-01-18 0.094313 0.113702 0.137380 0.168866 0.210319 0.264022 0.340560
2026-01-25 0.088882 0.108554 0.132999 0.166144 0.210765 0.270043 0.357030
2026-02-01 0.086572 0.107163 0.133218 0.169273 0.218974 0.286799 0.389539
2026-02-08 0.082625 0.103403 0.130085 0.167635 0.220426 0.294112 0.408787
2026-02-15 0.079654 0.100743 0.128214 0.167517 0.223851 0.304268 0.432864
2026-02-22 0.075878 0.096816 0.124419 0.164459 0.222801 0.307697 0.446681
2026-03-01 0.073220 0.094265 0.122349 0.163669 0.224907 0.315816 0.468371
2026-03-08 0.071054 0.092323 0.121066 0.163985 0.228732 0.326900 0.496044
2026-03-15 0.068095 0.089166 0.117946 0.161460 0.228108 0.331012 0.512431
2026-03-22 0.065779 0.086805 0.115832 0.160277 0.229412 0.338162 0.534505
2026-03-29 0.064653 0.086067 0.115988 0.162464 0.236042 0.354291 0.573774
2026-04-05 0.062680 0.084035 0.114167 0.161525 0.237598 0.362059 0.598514
2026-04-12 0.060567 0.081719 0.111831 0.159661 0.237513 0.366980 0.618291
2026-04-19 0.058393 0.079240 0.109153 0.157128 0.236162 0.369579 0.633765
2026-04-26 0.057815 0.079074 0.109915 0.160039 0.244008 0.388759 0.683574
2026-05-03 0.056105 0.077170 0.107971 0.158516 0.244226 0.394271 0.706313
2026-05-10 0.054846 0.075896 0.106937 0.158405 0.246842 0.404279 0.739302
2026-05-17 0.052974 0.073639 0.104308 0.155560 0.244512 0.404909 0.752333